Eurovision 2012: Semifinal 1 Predictions

So tonight's the night, cats and kittens!  The first semi-final will take place in Baku, and 10 of the following songs will move on to the Grand Final this Saturday.

Here's your running order:

1. Montenegro: Rambo Amadeus - Euro Neuro
2. Iceland: Greta Salóme & Jónsi - Never Forget
3. Greece: Eleftheria Eleftheriou - Aphrodisiac
4. Latvia: Anmary - Beautiful Song
5. Albania: Rona Nishliu - Suus
6. Romania: Mandinga - Zaleilah
7. Switzerland: Sinplus - Unbreakable
8. Belgium: Iris - Would You
9. Finland: Pernilla - När Jag Blundar
10. Israel: Izabo - Time
11. San Marino: Valentina Monetta - The Social Network Song (Oh Oh - Uh - Oh Oh)
12. Cyprus: Ivi Adamou - La La Love
13. Denmark: Soluna Samay - Should've Known Better
14. Russia: Buranovskiye Babushki - Party For Everybody
15. Hungary: Compact Disco - Sound Of Our Hearts
16. Austria: Trackshittaz - Woki Mit Deim Popo
17. Moldova: Pasha Parfeny - Lăutar
18. Ireland: Jedward - Waterline

So who can we expect to move on?  My vaguely expert predictions, based solely on internet chatter, betting odds, and stuff I just frankly like

1. Iceland
2. Greece
3. Albania
4. Romania
5. Cyrpus
6. Denmark
7. Russia
8. Hungary
9. Moldova
10. Ireland

San Marino (one of my personal favorites) probably won't get through, which really is a shame!  Possible dark horses may be Finland, Israel, and Switzerland.

What are your thoughts?  Will you be watching?